Molde VS Odd Grenland
Molde and Odd lock horns in this Eliteserien clash at Aker Stadion very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the highest level of Norwegian football. The level of this league is mediocre by European standards. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of clearly better than average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly my fans and I have yet another very interesting betting opportunity here!Both teams have played three games in this league so far. As three games does not tell too much we will have to take a look at last season's results. Molde played a very disappointing last season – ending up in 5th place. In 2022 they took the championship. Molde grabbed only 51 points which was a whopping 19 points less than the champions Bodo/Glimt managed to take. Finishing worse than much smaller teams Brann (61 points), Tromso (61 points) - and Viking with 58 points was a surprise. Yes, Molde can and probably will improve this season but are still overvalued by the bookies and in the Norwegian football media. Odd played a mediocre last season, taking the expectations into account. They finished in 10th place with 38 points. They, too, will probably do better this season. In 2022 they ended up in 5th place. They are definitely not a small team in terms of financial resources or players' estimated total market value – according to Transfermarkt.com. They do not have any huge starts in the squad but play well as a team and I also trust their coach a lot. However, I do want to mention the ultra-talented left winger Faniel Twelde, 17, who will probably be sold to a much bigger club pretty soon.. His estimated market value is 2 million euros but this is still too low in my expert opinion. He was excellent especially in round 2 against Sarpsborg 08!
Molde have won all three Elitserien games so far. Odd's record is one win, one draw and one narrow defeat. Molde beat Kristiansund 2-0 at home in their last game. Yes. They deserved to win but were also massive favourites – priced around 1.20 to win by the bookies. They did not fully convince me as a whole. Indeed, the ball possession was 50-50% and the visitors even had many more dangerous attempts. Molde did record more goal attempts though. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 0.98-0.74. Before this they easily beat an amateur team, Eide Omegn 5-0 away from home in an NM Cup clash. In round 2 of Eliteserien Molde beat HamKam, a pretty limited team 1-0 away from home. Molde were priced around 1.65 to win on the betting market. They did record more goal attempts (12-7) but the hosts had more attacks. Odds have won twice and taken one draw in their last three games. In their most recent match they were not at their best and it was a 2-2 draw at home against Sandefjord. The visitors, however, played better than usual. The xG numbers were 1.21-0.94. Before this they easily defeated Askollen on the road 3-1 in a NM Cup battle. In round 2 of Eliteserien they beat Sarpsborg 08 away from home as big underdogs - priced around 4.50 to win. The hosts had 65% ball possession but Odd defended in an organized way. Odd did, however, record more goal attempts, shot on goal and shots off target. The hosts had more dangerous attacks though – 55-42. In round 1 Odd generated massively more than Haugesund in xG (2.78-0.70) but were unlucky - losing 1-2. Yes, Molde, of course, have an edge in all areas of the game here but the odds on the home win are around 1.30 at the time of writing this analysis and this is way too low! Odd will surely defend hard here and Molde will probably find it rather tough to break the visitors' pretty solid defence.. The obvious smart bet here is the Odd +1.5 goals handicap with a 62.50% chance of winning!
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Molde VS Odd Grenland
北京時(shí)間周三凌晨，莫爾德和奧奇在阿克球場(chǎng)上演了一場(chǎng)精英隊(duì)的沖突。這是挪威足球的最高水平。按照歐洲的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)，這個(gè)聯(lián)賽的水平是中等的。足球迷和我們這些認(rèn)真的投注者——考慮到長(zhǎng)期利潤(rùn)——可以期待一場(chǎng)明顯高于聯(lián)賽平均水平的比賽。最重要的是，我和我的粉絲在這里又有了一個(gè)非常有趣的投注機(jī)會(huì)!到目前為止，兩隊(duì)在這個(gè)聯(lián)賽中已經(jīng)打了三場(chǎng)比賽。由于三場(chǎng)比賽并不能說明什么，我們將不得不看看上賽季的結(jié)果。莫爾德上賽季的表現(xiàn)非常令人失望，最終排名第五。2022年，他們奪得了冠軍。莫爾德只拿到51分，比冠軍博多/格里姆特少了19分。最后的成績(jī)比比他們小得多的球隊(duì)布蘭恩(61分)、特羅姆瑟(61分)和維京(58分)都要差。是的，莫爾德本賽季可以而且可能會(huì)有所提高，但他仍然被博彩公司和挪威足球媒體高估了?？紤]到人們的期望，奇奇上賽季表現(xiàn)平平。他們以38分排名第十。他們本賽季也可能會(huì)做得更好。2022年，他們最終排名第五。根據(jù)Transfermarkt.com的數(shù)據(jù)，從財(cái)政資源和球員的估計(jì)總市值來看，他們絕對(duì)不是一支小球隊(duì)。他們?cè)谑装l(fā)陣容中沒有出色的表現(xiàn)，但作為一個(gè)團(tuán)隊(duì)，他們踢得很好，我也非常信任他們的教練。然而，我確實(shí)想提一下17歲的極具天賦的左邊鋒法尼爾·twelve，他可能很快就會(huì)被賣到一家更大的俱樂部。他的市場(chǎng)價(jià)值估計(jì)為200萬歐元，但在我的專家看來，這仍然太低了。他的表現(xiàn)非常出色，尤其是在第二輪對(duì)陣薩普斯堡08的比賽中!
到目前為止，莫德已經(jīng)贏得了所有三場(chǎng)精英賽。奧德的戰(zhàn)績(jī)是1勝1平1負(fù)。莫爾德在上一場(chǎng)比賽中主場(chǎng)2:0擊敗克里斯蒂安桑德。是的。他們理應(yīng)獲勝，但也是大熱門——博彩公司開出的賠率約為1.20英鎊。總的來說，他們并沒有完全說服我。事實(shí)上，控球率是50%，客隊(duì)甚至有更多的危險(xiǎn)嘗試。不過莫爾德的進(jìn)球次數(shù)確實(shí)更多。預(yù)期目標(biāo)(xG)值為0.98-0.74。在此之前，他們?cè)诳蛨?chǎng)5-0輕松擊敗了一支業(yè)余球隊(duì)Eide Omegn。在第二輪的比賽中，莫爾德在客場(chǎng)1-0擊敗了實(shí)力相當(dāng)有限的哈姆卡姆。在博彩市場(chǎng)上，莫爾德的價(jià)格在1.65左右。他們的進(jìn)球次數(shù)確實(shí)更多(12勝7負(fù))，但主隊(duì)的進(jìn)攻次數(shù)更多。賠率隊(duì)在最近三場(chǎng)比賽中兩勝一平。在他們最近的一場(chǎng)比賽中，他們并沒有處于最佳狀態(tài)，他們?cè)谥鲌?chǎng)2-2戰(zhàn)平了桑德福德。然而，客隊(duì)比平時(shí)打得好。xG值為1.21 ~ 0.94。在此之前，他們?cè)诳蛨?chǎng)3-1擊敗了阿斯科倫。在精英賽的第二輪，他們?cè)诳蛨?chǎng)擊敗了薩普斯堡08，作為大輸家，他們的勝率在4.50左右。主隊(duì)有65%的控球率，但奧德的防守很有組織。然而，奇隊(duì)的射門次數(shù)、射正次數(shù)和射偏次數(shù)都有所增加。東道主以55比42取得了更危險(xiǎn)的進(jìn)攻。在第1輪，Odd在xG(2.78-0.70)中產(chǎn)生了比Haugesund多得多的結(jié)果，但我們運(yùn)氣不好——1-2輸?shù)袅吮荣悺Ｊ堑?，莫爾德?dāng)然在比賽的各個(gè)方面都有優(yōu)勢(shì)，但是在寫這篇分析的時(shí)候，主場(chǎng)獲勝的賠率大約是1.30，這太低了!奇肯定會(huì)在這里嚴(yán)防死守，莫爾德可能會(huì)發(fā)現(xiàn)很難打破客隊(duì)堅(jiān)固的防線。顯然明智的賭注是奇數(shù)+1.5個(gè)進(jìn)球障礙，有62.50%的獲勝機(jī)會(huì)!
